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10.1172/jci.insight.196505
1The Institute of Cancer Research, London, United Kingdom
2Clinical Trials and Statistics Unit, The Institute of Cancer Research, London, United Kingdom
3Epic Sciences, San Diego, United States of America
4University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg, Germany
5Houston Methodist Cancer Center, Houston, United States of America
6Englander Institute for Precision Medicine, Weill Cornell Medicine, Meyer Cancer Center, New York, United States of America
7Hospital Universitario 12 de Octubre, Madrid, Spain
8Institut Gustave Roussy, University of Paris-Saclay, Villejuif, France
9Université Catholique de Louvain, Cliniques Universitaires Saint-Luc, Brussels, Belgium
10Mayo Clinic Comprehensive Cancer Center, Rochester, United States of America
11Sanofi, Paris, France
12Erasmus MC Cancer Institute, Rotterdam, Netherlands
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1The Institute of Cancer Research, London, United Kingdom
2Clinical Trials and Statistics Unit, The Institute of Cancer Research, London, United Kingdom
3Epic Sciences, San Diego, United States of America
4University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg, Germany
5Houston Methodist Cancer Center, Houston, United States of America
6Englander Institute for Precision Medicine, Weill Cornell Medicine, Meyer Cancer Center, New York, United States of America
7Hospital Universitario 12 de Octubre, Madrid, Spain
8Institut Gustave Roussy, University of Paris-Saclay, Villejuif, France
9Université Catholique de Louvain, Cliniques Universitaires Saint-Luc, Brussels, Belgium
10Mayo Clinic Comprehensive Cancer Center, Rochester, United States of America
11Sanofi, Paris, France
12Erasmus MC Cancer Institute, Rotterdam, Netherlands
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1The Institute of Cancer Research, London, United Kingdom
2Clinical Trials and Statistics Unit, The Institute of Cancer Research, London, United Kingdom
3Epic Sciences, San Diego, United States of America
4University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg, Germany
5Houston Methodist Cancer Center, Houston, United States of America
6Englander Institute for Precision Medicine, Weill Cornell Medicine, Meyer Cancer Center, New York, United States of America
7Hospital Universitario 12 de Octubre, Madrid, Spain
8Institut Gustave Roussy, University of Paris-Saclay, Villejuif, France
9Université Catholique de Louvain, Cliniques Universitaires Saint-Luc, Brussels, Belgium
10Mayo Clinic Comprehensive Cancer Center, Rochester, United States of America
11Sanofi, Paris, France
12Erasmus MC Cancer Institute, Rotterdam, Netherlands
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1The Institute of Cancer Research, London, United Kingdom
2Clinical Trials and Statistics Unit, The Institute of Cancer Research, London, United Kingdom
3Epic Sciences, San Diego, United States of America
4University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg, Germany
5Houston Methodist Cancer Center, Houston, United States of America
6Englander Institute for Precision Medicine, Weill Cornell Medicine, Meyer Cancer Center, New York, United States of America
7Hospital Universitario 12 de Octubre, Madrid, Spain
8Institut Gustave Roussy, University of Paris-Saclay, Villejuif, France
9Université Catholique de Louvain, Cliniques Universitaires Saint-Luc, Brussels, Belgium
10Mayo Clinic Comprehensive Cancer Center, Rochester, United States of America
11Sanofi, Paris, France
12Erasmus MC Cancer Institute, Rotterdam, Netherlands
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1The Institute of Cancer Research, London, United Kingdom
2Clinical Trials and Statistics Unit, The Institute of Cancer Research, London, United Kingdom
3Epic Sciences, San Diego, United States of America
4University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg, Germany
5Houston Methodist Cancer Center, Houston, United States of America
6Englander Institute for Precision Medicine, Weill Cornell Medicine, Meyer Cancer Center, New York, United States of America
7Hospital Universitario 12 de Octubre, Madrid, Spain
8Institut Gustave Roussy, University of Paris-Saclay, Villejuif, France
9Université Catholique de Louvain, Cliniques Universitaires Saint-Luc, Brussels, Belgium
10Mayo Clinic Comprehensive Cancer Center, Rochester, United States of America
11Sanofi, Paris, France
12Erasmus MC Cancer Institute, Rotterdam, Netherlands
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1The Institute of Cancer Research, London, United Kingdom
2Clinical Trials and Statistics Unit, The Institute of Cancer Research, London, United Kingdom
3Epic Sciences, San Diego, United States of America
4University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg, Germany
5Houston Methodist Cancer Center, Houston, United States of America
6Englander Institute for Precision Medicine, Weill Cornell Medicine, Meyer Cancer Center, New York, United States of America
7Hospital Universitario 12 de Octubre, Madrid, Spain
8Institut Gustave Roussy, University of Paris-Saclay, Villejuif, France
9Université Catholique de Louvain, Cliniques Universitaires Saint-Luc, Brussels, Belgium
10Mayo Clinic Comprehensive Cancer Center, Rochester, United States of America
11Sanofi, Paris, France
12Erasmus MC Cancer Institute, Rotterdam, Netherlands
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1The Institute of Cancer Research, London, United Kingdom
2Clinical Trials and Statistics Unit, The Institute of Cancer Research, London, United Kingdom
3Epic Sciences, San Diego, United States of America
4University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg, Germany
5Houston Methodist Cancer Center, Houston, United States of America
6Englander Institute for Precision Medicine, Weill Cornell Medicine, Meyer Cancer Center, New York, United States of America
7Hospital Universitario 12 de Octubre, Madrid, Spain
8Institut Gustave Roussy, University of Paris-Saclay, Villejuif, France
9Université Catholique de Louvain, Cliniques Universitaires Saint-Luc, Brussels, Belgium
10Mayo Clinic Comprehensive Cancer Center, Rochester, United States of America
11Sanofi, Paris, France
12Erasmus MC Cancer Institute, Rotterdam, Netherlands
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1The Institute of Cancer Research, London, United Kingdom
2Clinical Trials and Statistics Unit, The Institute of Cancer Research, London, United Kingdom
3Epic Sciences, San Diego, United States of America
4University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg, Germany
5Houston Methodist Cancer Center, Houston, United States of America
6Englander Institute for Precision Medicine, Weill Cornell Medicine, Meyer Cancer Center, New York, United States of America
7Hospital Universitario 12 de Octubre, Madrid, Spain
8Institut Gustave Roussy, University of Paris-Saclay, Villejuif, France
9Université Catholique de Louvain, Cliniques Universitaires Saint-Luc, Brussels, Belgium
10Mayo Clinic Comprehensive Cancer Center, Rochester, United States of America
11Sanofi, Paris, France
12Erasmus MC Cancer Institute, Rotterdam, Netherlands
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1The Institute of Cancer Research, London, United Kingdom
2Clinical Trials and Statistics Unit, The Institute of Cancer Research, London, United Kingdom
3Epic Sciences, San Diego, United States of America
4University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg, Germany
5Houston Methodist Cancer Center, Houston, United States of America
6Englander Institute for Precision Medicine, Weill Cornell Medicine, Meyer Cancer Center, New York, United States of America
7Hospital Universitario 12 de Octubre, Madrid, Spain
8Institut Gustave Roussy, University of Paris-Saclay, Villejuif, France
9Université Catholique de Louvain, Cliniques Universitaires Saint-Luc, Brussels, Belgium
10Mayo Clinic Comprehensive Cancer Center, Rochester, United States of America
11Sanofi, Paris, France
12Erasmus MC Cancer Institute, Rotterdam, Netherlands
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1The Institute of Cancer Research, London, United Kingdom
2Clinical Trials and Statistics Unit, The Institute of Cancer Research, London, United Kingdom
3Epic Sciences, San Diego, United States of America
4University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg, Germany
5Houston Methodist Cancer Center, Houston, United States of America
6Englander Institute for Precision Medicine, Weill Cornell Medicine, Meyer Cancer Center, New York, United States of America
7Hospital Universitario 12 de Octubre, Madrid, Spain
8Institut Gustave Roussy, University of Paris-Saclay, Villejuif, France
9Université Catholique de Louvain, Cliniques Universitaires Saint-Luc, Brussels, Belgium
10Mayo Clinic Comprehensive Cancer Center, Rochester, United States of America
11Sanofi, Paris, France
12Erasmus MC Cancer Institute, Rotterdam, Netherlands
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1The Institute of Cancer Research, London, United Kingdom
2Clinical Trials and Statistics Unit, The Institute of Cancer Research, London, United Kingdom
3Epic Sciences, San Diego, United States of America
4University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg, Germany
5Houston Methodist Cancer Center, Houston, United States of America
6Englander Institute for Precision Medicine, Weill Cornell Medicine, Meyer Cancer Center, New York, United States of America
7Hospital Universitario 12 de Octubre, Madrid, Spain
8Institut Gustave Roussy, University of Paris-Saclay, Villejuif, France
9Université Catholique de Louvain, Cliniques Universitaires Saint-Luc, Brussels, Belgium
10Mayo Clinic Comprehensive Cancer Center, Rochester, United States of America
11Sanofi, Paris, France
12Erasmus MC Cancer Institute, Rotterdam, Netherlands
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1The Institute of Cancer Research, London, United Kingdom
2Clinical Trials and Statistics Unit, The Institute of Cancer Research, London, United Kingdom
3Epic Sciences, San Diego, United States of America
4University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg, Germany
5Houston Methodist Cancer Center, Houston, United States of America
6Englander Institute for Precision Medicine, Weill Cornell Medicine, Meyer Cancer Center, New York, United States of America
7Hospital Universitario 12 de Octubre, Madrid, Spain
8Institut Gustave Roussy, University of Paris-Saclay, Villejuif, France
9Université Catholique de Louvain, Cliniques Universitaires Saint-Luc, Brussels, Belgium
10Mayo Clinic Comprehensive Cancer Center, Rochester, United States of America
11Sanofi, Paris, France
12Erasmus MC Cancer Institute, Rotterdam, Netherlands
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1The Institute of Cancer Research, London, United Kingdom
2Clinical Trials and Statistics Unit, The Institute of Cancer Research, London, United Kingdom
3Epic Sciences, San Diego, United States of America
4University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg, Germany
5Houston Methodist Cancer Center, Houston, United States of America
6Englander Institute for Precision Medicine, Weill Cornell Medicine, Meyer Cancer Center, New York, United States of America
7Hospital Universitario 12 de Octubre, Madrid, Spain
8Institut Gustave Roussy, University of Paris-Saclay, Villejuif, France
9Université Catholique de Louvain, Cliniques Universitaires Saint-Luc, Brussels, Belgium
10Mayo Clinic Comprehensive Cancer Center, Rochester, United States of America
11Sanofi, Paris, France
12Erasmus MC Cancer Institute, Rotterdam, Netherlands
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1The Institute of Cancer Research, London, United Kingdom
2Clinical Trials and Statistics Unit, The Institute of Cancer Research, London, United Kingdom
3Epic Sciences, San Diego, United States of America
4University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg, Germany
5Houston Methodist Cancer Center, Houston, United States of America
6Englander Institute for Precision Medicine, Weill Cornell Medicine, Meyer Cancer Center, New York, United States of America
7Hospital Universitario 12 de Octubre, Madrid, Spain
8Institut Gustave Roussy, University of Paris-Saclay, Villejuif, France
9Université Catholique de Louvain, Cliniques Universitaires Saint-Luc, Brussels, Belgium
10Mayo Clinic Comprehensive Cancer Center, Rochester, United States of America
11Sanofi, Paris, France
12Erasmus MC Cancer Institute, Rotterdam, Netherlands
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1The Institute of Cancer Research, London, United Kingdom
2Clinical Trials and Statistics Unit, The Institute of Cancer Research, London, United Kingdom
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4University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg, Germany
5Houston Methodist Cancer Center, Houston, United States of America
6Englander Institute for Precision Medicine, Weill Cornell Medicine, Meyer Cancer Center, New York, United States of America
7Hospital Universitario 12 de Octubre, Madrid, Spain
8Institut Gustave Roussy, University of Paris-Saclay, Villejuif, France
9Université Catholique de Louvain, Cliniques Universitaires Saint-Luc, Brussels, Belgium
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1The Institute of Cancer Research, London, United Kingdom
2Clinical Trials and Statistics Unit, The Institute of Cancer Research, London, United Kingdom
3Epic Sciences, San Diego, United States of America
4University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg, Germany
5Houston Methodist Cancer Center, Houston, United States of America
6Englander Institute for Precision Medicine, Weill Cornell Medicine, Meyer Cancer Center, New York, United States of America
7Hospital Universitario 12 de Octubre, Madrid, Spain
8Institut Gustave Roussy, University of Paris-Saclay, Villejuif, France
9Université Catholique de Louvain, Cliniques Universitaires Saint-Luc, Brussels, Belgium
10Mayo Clinic Comprehensive Cancer Center, Rochester, United States of America
11Sanofi, Paris, France
12Erasmus MC Cancer Institute, Rotterdam, Netherlands
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1The Institute of Cancer Research, London, United Kingdom
2Clinical Trials and Statistics Unit, The Institute of Cancer Research, London, United Kingdom
3Epic Sciences, San Diego, United States of America
4University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg, Germany
5Houston Methodist Cancer Center, Houston, United States of America
6Englander Institute for Precision Medicine, Weill Cornell Medicine, Meyer Cancer Center, New York, United States of America
7Hospital Universitario 12 de Octubre, Madrid, Spain
8Institut Gustave Roussy, University of Paris-Saclay, Villejuif, France
9Université Catholique de Louvain, Cliniques Universitaires Saint-Luc, Brussels, Belgium
10Mayo Clinic Comprehensive Cancer Center, Rochester, United States of America
11Sanofi, Paris, France
12Erasmus MC Cancer Institute, Rotterdam, Netherlands
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Published November 4, 2025 - More info
BACKGROUND. Predictive biomarkers to guide chemotherapy decisions for metastatic castration resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC) are lacking. Preclinical studies indicate that circulating tumor cell (CTC) studies of chromosomal instability (CTC-CIN) can predict taxane resistance.
METHODS. The CARD trial randomized subjects with mCRPC progressing within a year of treatment with an androgen receptor pathway inhibitor (ARPI; enzalutamide or abiraterone acetate plus prednisolone/prednisone) to cabazitaxel or the alternative ARPI. As a pre-planned biomarker analysis, CTCs were isolated from blood samples obtained at baseline; cycle two, and end of treatment. Associations between baseline CTC and CTC-CIN counts with imaging-based progression free survival (ibPFS), overall survival (OS), time to prostate-specific antigen (PSA) progression, RECIST 1.1 objective response rate (ORR), and PSA50 response rate (PRR) were assessed.
RESULTS. High baseline CTC-CIN counts significantly associated with worse OS after adjustment for confounding variables (median OS, 15.3 vs 8.9 months; univariate HR, 2.16; 95% CI, 1.52 – 3.06; p < 0.001; multivariate HR, 1.56; 95% CI, 1.01 – 2.43; p = 0.047). Detectable CTC-CIN counts at baseline may predict a lack of ibPFS and OS benefit when comparing cabazitaxel to ARPI.
CONCLUSION. This preplanned biomarker analysis of CARD confirms that CTC-CIN counts are a clinically useful prognostic and predictive biomarker of taxane resistance in mCRPC. Detectable CTC-CIN at baseline defines a patient subpopulation with unmet clinical needs in which alternative therapeutics should be tested.
TRIAL REGISTRATION. CARD ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT02485691.
FUNDING. Funded by Sanofi and Epic Sciences.