[HTML][HTML] A composite immune signature parallels disease progression across T1D subjects

C Speake, SO Skinner, D Berel, E Whalen, MJ Dufort… - JCI insight, 2019 - ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
C Speake, SO Skinner, D Berel, E Whalen, MJ Dufort, WC Young, JM Odegard…
JCI insight, 2019ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
At diagnosis, most people with type 1 diabetes (T1D) produce measurable levels of
endogenous insulin, but the rate at which insulin secretion declines is heterogeneous. To
explain this heterogeneity, we sought to identify a composite signature predictive of insulin
secretion, using a collaborative assay evaluation and analysis pipeline that incorporated
multiple cellular and serum measures reflecting β cell health and immune system activity.
The ability to predict decline in insulin secretion would be useful for patient stratification for …
Abstract
At diagnosis, most people with type 1 diabetes (T1D) produce measurable levels of endogenous insulin, but the rate at which insulin secretion declines is heterogeneous. To explain this heterogeneity, we sought to identify a composite signature predictive of insulin secretion, using a collaborative assay evaluation and analysis pipeline that incorporated multiple cellular and serum measures reflecting β cell health and immune system activity. The ability to predict decline in insulin secretion would be useful for patient stratification for clinical trial enrollment or therapeutic selection. Analytes from 12 qualified assays were measured in shared samples from subjects newly diagnosed with T1D. We developed a computational tool (DIFAcTO, D ata I ntegration F lexible to Ac count for different T ypes of data and O utcomes) to identify a composite panel associated with decline in insulin secretion over 2 years following diagnosis. DIFAcTO uses multiple filtering steps to reduce data dimensionality, incorporates error estimation techniques including cross-validation and sensitivity analysis, and is flexible to assay type, clinical outcome, and disease setting. Using this novel analytical tool, we identified a panel of immune markers that, in combination, are highly associated with loss of insulin secretion. The methods used here represent a potentially novel process for identifying combined immune signatures that predict outcomes relevant for complex and heterogeneous diseases like T1D.
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