[PDF][PDF] Evaluating the effects of SARS-CoV-2 spike mutation D614G on transmissibility and pathogenicity

E Volz, V Hill, JT McCrone, A Price, D Jorgensen… - Cell, 2021 - cell.com
E Volz, V Hill, JT McCrone, A Price, D Jorgensen, Á O'Toole, J Southgate, R Johnson
Cell, 2021cell.com
Global dispersal and increasing frequency of the SARS-CoV-2 spike protein variant D614G
are suggestive of a selective advantage but may also be due to a random founder effect. We
investigate the hypothesis for positive selection of spike D614G in the United Kingdom using
more than 25,000 whole genome SARS-CoV-2 sequences. Despite the availability of a
large dataset, well represented by both spike 614 variants, not all approaches showed a
conclusive signal of positive selection. Population genetic analysis indicates that 614G …
Summary
Global dispersal and increasing frequency of the SARS-CoV-2 spike protein variant D614G are suggestive of a selective advantage but may also be due to a random founder effect. We investigate the hypothesis for positive selection of spike D614G in the United Kingdom using more than 25,000 whole genome SARS-CoV-2 sequences. Despite the availability of a large dataset, well represented by both spike 614 variants, not all approaches showed a conclusive signal of positive selection. Population genetic analysis indicates that 614G increases in frequency relative to 614D in a manner consistent with a selective advantage. We do not find any indication that patients infected with the spike 614G variant have higher COVID-19 mortality or clinical severity, but 614G is associated with higher viral load and younger age of patients. Significant differences in growth and size of 614G phylogenetic clusters indicate a need for continued study of this variant.
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